Electoral system change in Belgium 2003 : party strategies and voter responses


Gschwend, Thomas


[img]
Vorschau
PDF
dp08_29.pdf - Veröffentlichte Version

Download (208kB)

URL: http://ub-madoc.bib.uni-mannheim.de/2318
URN: urn:nbn:de:bsz:180-madoc-23188
Dokumenttyp: Arbeitspapier
Erscheinungsjahr: 2008
Sprache der Veröffentlichung: Englisch
Einrichtung: Fakultät für Rechtswissenschaft und Volkswirtschaftslehre > Sonstige - Fakultät für Rechtswissenschaft und Volkswirtschaftslehre
MADOC-Schriftenreihe: Sonderforschungsbereich 504 > Rationalitätskonzepte, Entscheidungsverhalten und ökonomische Modellierung (Laufzeit 1997 - 2008)
Fachgebiet: 320 Politik
Normierte Schlagwörter (SWD): Belgien , Wahlrechtsreform , Wahlverhalten
Abstract: The paper addresses two points: First, what is the effect of changes to the electoral system in Belgium and second, how do voters respond to the new electoral rules? If seat-maximization is the key link then this would lead to the prediction that parties that supported the change of the electoral system particularly the parties of the incumbent governing coalition (before the change took place for the 2003 election), should expect to fare better under the new rules than the old rules that translate votes into seats. The mechanical effects of the new electoral rules for 2003 when applied to the number of votes cast in 1995 and 1999 do have a small effect in the direction predicted by the theory. The governing parties together, particular the rancophone ones, can expect to fare better under the new rules than under the old rules. Regarding the second question, the number of Strategic Voters in a given district is typically predicted by the district magnitude, i.e. the number of seats that are awarded at the primary electoral district level. Contrary to previous studies there is strong evidence of strategic voting particularly within the small Belgian districts. This analysis further demonstrates that even the new incentives to cast a strategic vote through the need for every party to overcome 5% of the district vote share before gaining representation has already a systematic impact on the decision-making process of Belgium voters.
Zusätzliche Informationen:

Das Dokument wird vom Publikationsserver der Universitätsbibliothek Mannheim bereitgestellt.




+ Zitationsbeispiel und Export

Gschwend, Thomas (2008) Electoral system change in Belgium 2003 : party strategies and voter responses. [Arbeitspapier]
[img]
Vorschau



+ Suche Autoren in

+ Download-Statistik

Downloads im letzten Jahr

Detailierte Angaben



Sie haben einen Fehler gefunden? Teilen Sie uns Ihren Korrekturwunsch bitte hier mit: E-Mail


Actions (login required)

Eintrag anzeigen Eintrag anzeigen